The level of positivity is beginning to decline across multiple internal fronts, suggesting a dramatic trajectory that indicates that the upcoming month of September, with its anticipated deadlines, will be crowded with confrontations and challenges. Foremost among these is the issue of border demarcation, the completion of reform legislation, the resumption of negotiations with the International Monetary Fund, and the election of a new president for the republic. In this context, informed political sources indicate a new scenario is starting to take shape on the local scene, which will have repercussions on these issues if the horizon remains blocked for their resolution, and if constitutional mechanisms remain suspended amidst political disagreements and divisions that have affected a unified team on certain files, especially the reform-related issues. This has resulted in escalating tensions within official institutions, beginning to manifest as a reality of stagnation and paralysis.
These sources anticipate that the pace of legislative work will be affected, at least concerning laws that require government involvement, independent of the announced stances that assert commitment to reforms, as demonstrated by the ongoing stalemate of laws and their failure to progress. However, this continued stagnation on core issues will not last long, as these same informed sources reveal that the level of pressure from the international community will increase in the coming months, especially since relevant capitals concerned with supporting and assisting Lebanon have informed political authorities that reforms should not be tied to any political conditions. Thus, ensuring that reform legislation remains at the forefront of the domestic agenda.
The sources also mention discouraging data that may hinder progress on border demarcation or the exploitation of oil wealth. Consequently, the extraction of gas amidst the regional tensions could be delayed, particularly as the political situation within Israel is characterized by confusion and turmoil, which will add obstacles and complexities to the demarcation agreement or any anticipated settlement, regardless of serious American pressure in this context.
