Three opinion polls conducted on Thursday showed that the National Rally party, led by Marine Le Pen and associated with the far-right, is leading the race in the French parliamentary elections, outperforming the left-wing People's Union coalition and President Emmanuel Macron's centrist coalition. The French Institute of Public Opinion, which conducts polls, reported in a survey for the TF1 broadcasting group that the newspaper "Le Figaro" stated that the National Rally party is expected to secure 34% of the votes, while the People's Union coalition will reach 29%, and Macron's Together bloc will garner 22%.
A separate poll conducted by Harris Interactive for RTL Radio, M6 TV, and the magazine "Challenges" indicated that the National Rally is likely to achieve 33%, with the left-wing coalition winning 26%, and Macron's coalition obtaining 21%.
A poll published on Thursday by OpinionWay for CNews TV, Europe 1 radio, and the Journal du Dimanche showed the National Rally in the lead with 35% of the votes, ahead of the People's Union coalition, which received 27%, and Macron's camp, which recorded 20%.
However, the simulation of national elections does not allow for a direct prediction of the power dynamics in the future National Assembly in France, as elections will be held in two rounds to gain a majority on June 30 and July 7 in each region.
Nevertheless, Harris's poll predicted an approximate distribution of seats, forecasting that the National Rally and its allies will gain between 235 and 280 seats, which is less than the 289 seats needed for an absolute majority, but still makes it the largest bloc by a significant margin.
