The American magazine "Foreign Affairs" provided a future outlook report on expected scenarios for Israel following the end of its military aggression against the Gaza Strip. The article highlighted what it termed "the demise of Israel and the dark future that awaits it" after the war on Gaza, emphasizing that the attack launched by Palestinian resistance on October 7, 2023, struck Israel at a time when the country was experiencing an unprecedented level of internal instability.
The article’s authors, American-Jewish writers Ilan Baron and Eli Saltzman, noted that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his far-right allies were pushing for a bill to amend judicial regulations, aimed at significantly reducing the Supreme Court's oversight of the government. The judicial amendments proposed by Netanyahu sparked massive protests in Israel, revealing a "deeply divided society," as the magazine reported.
Today, the war on the Gaza Strip has led to "intensified political divisions within Israel," according to the article, which confirmed that "Israel is following an unsustainable path, likely to result in capital flight, brain drain, and deepening internal tensions." In the same context, the report indicated that "Israel may transform into a divided entity, where right-wing religious and nationalist factions establish their own de facto state, likely in West Bank settlements."
In another scenario, the American magazine foresaw that "Israel could witness a rebellion by religious and nationalist extremists, potentially leading to a violent civil war between the armed religious right and official forces." It pointed out that "the presence of competing security groups and lax parliamentary oversight could undermine Israel's overall security deterrence and disrupt any cohesive governing system within the Israeli security establishment."
It continued that "in the absence of a civil war in Israel thus far, the situation will remain unstable, and the economy will collapse, ultimately rendering it a failed state."
