Eid al-Adha yesterday passed relatively quietly along the southern borders, with fewer Israeli strikes compared to other violent and bloody days. However, this does not indicate a ceasefire or de-escalation; it is likely related to the Eid holiday, a situation that also extends to Gaza. In the besieged enclave, which is experiencing the fiercest aggression, Israel announced a tactical ceasefire in military activities daily during specific daytime hours to allow for humanitarian aid to enter. Reports indicate that no air raids or shelling took place in central Gaza, according to "Anbaa" electronic news.
However, the Israeli army was keen to assert that despite the tactical ceasefires, there is no halt to hostilities in southern Gaza, and military operations in Rafah continue. Thus, these ceasefires aim to provide relief to army personnel and alleviate pressure on them, following the death of 11 personnel in Rafah in a single day.
Returning to Lebanon, anxiety is growing day by day, and some believe that Lebanon is edging closer to a comprehensive war. However, observers maintain that there are still chances to avoid a full-scale conflict. They cite several reasons for this perspective: first, Hezbollah's reluctance to expand the war to avoid a Gaza-like situation in Lebanon; second, the division between the political and military authorities in Israel; and third, the desire of both the United States and Iran to prevent the region from descending into a wide-scale war, as any significant Israeli action in Lebanon could provoke intervention from Hezbollah's allies, prompting the U.S. to defend Israel, potentially leading to a large regional conflict that no one wishes for.
Additionally, presidential efforts are expected to continue in the coming days, with the Democratic Gathering bloc set to receive responses and reactions to its initiative. The head of the Free Patriotic Movement, Gebran Bassil, is also expected to continue his presidential tours. However, the outlook is not positive, and there appear to be no signs of a breakthrough in the near future, as positions remain unchanged and there are no indicators that any party will retract its high demands, thus the stalemate continues.
In summary, the war of attrition in the south is extensive, and the calm on Sunday is expected to be erased in the coming weeks, as no real changes have occurred at the political or military levels. The next period will reveal the fate of Lebanon and the region, according to "Anbaa" electronic news.
