Most political forces are treating the post-parliamentary election phase as a continuation of the previous one, and, in the best cases, as a transitional phase between two eras: the era of President Michel Aoun, who is entering the final months of his term, and the new era for which various forces are beginning to prepare behind the scenes. There is talk of three scenarios according to "Al-Joumhouria":
- **The First Scenario**: The presidential elections are held at the beginning of the constitutional period rather than at the end, in order to prepare for a new national phase that ends the era of division and renews the settlement that allows everyone to return to the Cabinet table. Particularly since the element of time is working against Lebanon and the Lebanese, there is no hope for improving the financial situation and alleviating the crisis except with the start of a new political phase. Some information indicates that some Western capitals concerned with the Lebanese file opened channels of communication with certain political forces immediately following the parliamentary elections, trying to gauge their pulse regarding the possibility of agreeing on the specifications of the president and applying them to the relevant individual. This would convert the period between his election and the assumption of his constitutional powers into a workshop for a renewed start for the country after the long stagnation Lebanon has experienced.
- **The Second Scenario**: The country may be engulfed in new vacuum due to the inability to elect a president, especially if one party insists on running and obliges its ally to disrupt the quorum while waiting for consensus on that name. This scenario resembles the path taken by General Michel Aoun, but with the difference that this group has already been tried, and the country cannot bear more vacuums. However, this possibility should not be ruled out in the absence of consensus on a specific candidate that meets the specifications that provide comfort for the major forces in their contradictions and divisions.
- **The Third Scenario**: The election of the Speaker of the House and his deputy could serve as a precursor to the presidential elections. Each of the two main teams supports one of the candidates, and competition occurs through voting rather than by disrupting the quorum, effectively reviving the dynamics of the 1970 presidential elections, characterized by a battle of the single vote between the late Presidents Suleiman Frangieh and Elias Sarkis. There are those who wish to revive this scenario and believe its conditions are viable given the existing diversity within the Parliament.
