Nothing takes precedence over the presidential election. Discussions and preparations for it are the main concern for both local and foreign parties, amidst significant divisions among political forces. The confrontation, particularly within the Christian camp, has reached a critical breaking point. There is widespread fear of its repercussions on the ground by the end of October, which marks the end of the term of President Michel Aoun and his departure from the presidential palace. There have been leaks regarding mutual preparations on the ground by both the pro-government and opposition factions. The former supports President Aoun's stay in Baabda, refusing to cede powers to a government with diminished legitimacy handling day-to-day affairs, while the latter opposes this, calling for a departure from the palace in accordance with the constitution regardless of the circumstances. This situation could lead to escalating internal tensions, spilling over into the regions, opening the stage for a long phase of vacuum that may only end with a settlement imposed on the Lebanese, as occurred in Taif and Doha, and bringing forth a compromise president that some describe as a new Elias Sarkis.
Former MP Mustafa Allouch says to "Al-Markaziya", "It is natural for the upcoming phase to be filled with security tensions due to local and regional ramifications. The basic question at the local level is: why are there no security disturbances yet in light of the material difficulties faced by the vast majority of citizens who are unable to secure their daily sustenance? With the opening of schools, there will be increased pressure from private schools demanding parents pay fees in dollars, and on the other hand, public schools are unable to accommodate the large number of students transferring to them, which will create confusion among the people. The state, which is collapsing and unable to take any action, will become even more of a wreck amidst officials preoccupied with personal matters and 'utilitarian' issues.
At the regional and international level, it is known that Lebanon pays the price for agreements as well as conflicts, especially now as we remain an open arena for all that is happening amidst the conflicts between Western and Eastern axes. There is great fear of turning us into a distraction by destabilizing the current situation and igniting our internal disputes to pass projects through either peaceful or violent means.
He concludes: The fear remains that theoretical scenarios and discussions about President Aoun staying in Baabda turn into reality. The street may respond with protests from supporters and opponents, leading to our costs being imposed and converting us into a testing ground for what is planned for the region.
