A series of positions and developments lead to the belief that Iraqi political forces have entered early into the atmosphere of the parliamentary elections expected to take place in October 2025. The pace of these developments has begun to accelerate, amidst the revelations of serious efforts by key political figures to build alliances that guarantee them a partnership that cannot be overlooked or bypassed in any political structure resulting from these elections.
While the Shiite forces in the coordination framework view the course of events with some relief, they live in a state of anticipation regarding the stance of the leader of the Sadrist movement, Mr. Muqtada al-Sadr, on the electoral battle, especially following his step to localize his political group by launching the "National Shiite Current." The question arises whether this step will pave the way for him to announce his return from the decision to boycott the political process and engage with all his strength and popular influence to regain his position within Iraqi decision-making.
If political forces treat Sadr’s move to announce the National Shiite Current as merely a name change while remaining within the same framework and direction, akin to the abandonment of the Mahdi Army in favor of the Peace Brigades and the Sadrist movement, Sadr himself considers this announcement consistent with the "national" path he began in the summer of 2020 after the parliamentary elections, seeking to form a national majority government to help assimilate his Shiite group within national aspirations without abandoning its Shiite specificity. This opens up broader avenues for alliances and allows him to present himself as a leader transcending sectarian and ethnic components.
In addition to Sadr and the concerns he represents, a new anxiety has begun to emerge among some political forces within the coordination framework related to the Prime Minister of Sudan and his movements, which have become a mystery to all parties involved in the government or those seeking to assert their presence at the political decision-making and state management table. Foremost among these is former Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki, the Secretary-General of the Islamic Dawa Party.
