The First Deputy Minister of Agriculture of Ukraine, Taras Vysotsky, indicated that Ukraine's exports of wheat and corn are likely to decrease by nearly a quarter during the 2025/2024 season, which runs from July to June, due to lower harvests as a result of the war. Vysotsky, revealing the official forecasts for the 2025/2024 season for the first time, noted that wheat exports may drop from 18 million tons to 14 million tons. He also reported that corn exports could fall from 27 million tons to between 20 and 21 million tons, while he expects barley exports to remain stable at three million tons.
In addition to the war's impact on available agricultural land, grain crops could be affected by frost in May or drought in May and June. The anticipated decline in exports follows the ministry's forecast last month predicting a reduction in production. The ministry announced that Ukraine's grain harvest is likely to decrease to about 52 million tons this year compared to 58 million tons in 2023, primarily due to a reduction in cultivated area.
The Ministry of Agriculture forecasts a potential harvest of 27 million tons of corn, 19 million tons of wheat, and five million tons of barley this year. The total grain harvest in Ukraine for 2023 was approximately 60 million tons, including 30.5 million tons of corn, 22.2 million tons of wheat, and 5.7 million tons of barley.
