After the "veto" imposed by Hezbollah Secretary-General Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah on Army Commander General Joseph Aoun without naming him, the atmosphere has taken a different turn, especially following the meeting between the Army Commander and Hezbollah's liaison unit officer Wafiq Safa, along with the subsequent "flirtation" towards the Army Commander by two deputies from the "Loyalty to the Resistance" bloc, Ali Ammar and Mohammad Raad. These developments indicate a new atmosphere or a settlement that may be regionally or internationally contingent. So, are we facing a settlement before the end of the year as indicated?
Accordingly, political analyst Qassem Qassir believes that "the mere announcement of the meeting (Army Commander-Safa) signifies a dialogue between the two parties." Regarding the statements made by the bloc's deputies in the parliament, Qassir stated in a conversation with the "Anbaa" electronic newspaper that "the positions of Mohammad Raad and Ali Ammar in the parliamentary session indicate that there is no veto from the 'Party' on the Army Commander." He asserts that "Hezbollah has not yet declared a decisive position on any candidate, which means that the door is open for all candidates who are reassuring to the party, and the important thing is to ensure a dialogue and guarantee non-interference with the resistance."
Regarding a potential settlement, he clarified that "communications between France and Saudi Arabia are ongoing, and the French are seeking to reach a comprehensive settlement, but no final name has been proposed; this is linked to the details of the settlement, its circumstances, and all possibilities are on the table." Qassir believes that "Frangieh's chances are improving, but this is tied to internal and external communications."
And where will the head of the Free Patriotic Movement, MP Gebran Bassil, stand if a "settlement" occurs? He responds, "I don't know depending on the nature of the settlement, he is likely to be in a position of opposition."
Between yesterday and today, the data has changed, and perhaps between today and tomorrow, new developments will arise. Given the international decision coupled with regional and internal decisions, it seems the period of vacuum will not be limited!
