As the Israeli side intensifies its military escalation and resorts to widespread assassination operations across several countries, talks of a near solution have become more like fantasy. A Lebanese source told Al-Anbaa that the Israeli impasse in eliminating Palestinian resistance factions means the impossibility of achieving the dream of destroying the Lebanese resistance for several objective reasons, the most notable being the military and training capabilities it possesses, along with accumulated experience and strategic depth.
The source explained that Israel is setting impossible conditions for a solution, which essentially amount to the surrender of its adversaries on all fronts, rejecting the reality of the link between Hezbollah's retreat from the borders and the Israeli withdrawal behind the Blue Line. Moreover, the disarmament of the area south of the Litani River means to Israel that this achievement, if realized, has not only a security dimension but also a water dimension.
The source elaborated, stating that in 1982, Israel invaded Lebanon and pushed the Palestinians out of the 45-kilometer area, and not content with that, it occupied the capital Beirut and extended into the Bekaa Valley and towards the north under the pretext of preventing Katyusha rocket launches, while its core goal was control over water resources.
The source questioned: who guarantees that if disarmament occurs south of the Litani, it won't serve as a prelude to a sudden invasion of that area? The evidence is that the Israeli always insists in any negotiations, especially those led by U.S. presidential envoy Amos Hochstein, on implementing UN Resolution 1701 only from Lebanon’s side and in a weapons-free zone extending 40 to 45 kilometers, akin to the goals of the 1982 invasion.
The source confirmed that any solution usually revolves around two matters: first, the victor in the field imposes its conditions at the negotiating table; second, the political negotiation process solidifies loss or gain. This implies that Israel relies on significant international support and is at ease with any decision that may be raised in the UN Security Council, often transforming its field losses into political gains.
The source noted that Hezbollah has decided to link the fronts of Gaza and southern Lebanon. When it decided to enter the war, it simultaneously stated that the Lebanese state is the one negotiating to implement Resolution 1701, and everyone knows that Israel was the first to reject this resolution immediately upon its issuance in 2006, expressing this rejection through countless violations and attacks.
The source pointed out that the reality has changed; military strikes are being exchanged, and Israel has crossed all red lines. This could mark the beginning of negotiations, whether with the military pace remaining the same or following a large-scale war. Given the current realities, the belief that we are not facing a near solution, according to Al-Anbaa in Kuwait, is prevailing.
