A new level of military confrontation has come into effect with the anticipation of Hezbollah's response to the assassination of leader Fouad Shukr, indicating a theory of nearing a large-scale war. This has put the "Israelis" on high alert in preparation for any surprises from Hezbollah and Iran, necessitating special arrangements in Lebanon and preparing the ground for the military battle's escalation. The caretaker government, amid the capabilities of faltering ministries, has set an emergency plan for the crisis, while the main burden seems to rest on the shoulders of the Shiite duo in coordination with the axis allies for what is to come in the upcoming days.
The political transformation is evident in the Sunni environment, as the Palestinian cause has helped narrow the gap between Hezbollah and the Sunni audience, with significant Sunni support emerging for resistance actions. Despite considerable political differences between Hezbollah and Christian forces, the Christian environment is supportive of the displaced in the south. Former Deputy Walid Jumblatt has clarified the Druze positioning in the 2024 war alongside the Palestinian cause and resistance. In the past two weeks, crisis committees have been activated in the Mountain regions, with repeated calls to housing owners to observe and apply humanitarian standards in the reception of the displaced based on moral values.
Sources close to Jumblatt assert that he was among the first to stand alongside Hezbollah, which has reflected in the activities in Chouf, Aley, and Upper Metn. Preparations are underway in anticipation of any military escalation, and Jumblatt is keen on the details and following all procedures in anticipation of developments, calling in private meetings for complete national solidarity in the war, and opening the doors of the Mountain while neutralizing political differences.
The sources confirm that "the Bey" of the Druze exhibits firmness on this issue, as he is reported to have conveyed strict instructions to "Progressive Socialist Party" officials, warning those who do not comply with the directives that "if you are not satisfied, you should resign." Internal solidarity has reflected positively on Hezbollah, which has raised its state of readiness and military confrontation on all field and popular levels through a preemptive emergency plan. The Shiite duo is monitoring any event or developments on the security front, and thus, the strategy for handling any security event is "ready for implementation," based on the experiences of 2006, primarily focusing on ensuring safe displacement and preparing housing units and needs for the displaced. There are social and economic calculations on one side, and other considerations related to security and the war's trajectory, as Lebanon's conditions today do not resemble those of years past, socially and economically, or in the context of institutional disintegration.
