Manufacturing activity in China has grown for the first time in six months, providing some relief to policymakers even as the economy and confidence continue to be affected by the crisis in the real estate sector. The official purchasing managers' index rose to 50.8 in March, up from 49.1 in February, surpassing the threshold of fifty that separates growth from contraction and exceeding the average forecast of 49.9. Although the pace of growth was modest, it was also the highest reading for the purchasing managers' index since March of last year, when the momentum began to falter following the lifting of strict COVID-19 restrictions. Recent optimistic indicators suggest that the world's second-largest economy is slowly returning to a better state, prompting analysts to begin raising their growth forecasts for this year. Policymakers face a continued economic slowdown since the abandonment of anti-COVID regulations in late 2022, amid a deepening housing crisis, rising local government debts, and weak global demand. However, the deep recession in China's real estate sector remains a significant barrier to growth, testing the strength of debt-laden local governments and the balance sheets of state-owned banks.