It seems that the armed Iraqi factions have come to the conclusion that confrontation with US forces is impossible due to the balance of power, in addition to the internal Iraqi situation. These factions are attempting to step out of the spotlight and the sphere of the resistance axis and the Gaza war following the losses they have suffered from violent US strikes and the assassinations of prominent leaders in the Popular Mobilization Forces.
Security expert Mohammad Al-Basri acknowledged the existence of what he termed an unannounced ceasefire between the armed factions and the Americans, under the patronage of the Sudani government. Al-Basri stated, "In the past weeks, there have been no recorded attacks on US bases, while the latter has not targeted any of the objectives or leaders of the Iraqi armed factions, unlike before and after the assassination of leader Abu Baqir Al-Saudi, indicating the existence of an unannounced ceasefire."
He added that "the government and other parties with connections sought a ceasefire, and the Americans have vigorously pursued negotiations and requested the ceasefire, even if informally," noting that the factions' trust in Sudani has contributed to achieving this ceasefire to allow the Prime Minister’s program to take effect for the withdrawal of international forces from Iraq, including the Americans.
Al-Basri pointed out that "the armed factions announced prior to the assassination of Al-Saudi the cessation of their operations against US bases as a gesture of goodwill to give the Sudani government the opportunity to proceed with the expulsion of foreign forces, and the situation currently seems to be heading towards a ceasefire to allow more time for the expulsion of those forces according to the mechanisms desired by Baghdad."
Concern is escalating in Iraq in general, and particularly among the factions, which fear further assassination operations or strikes that the United States may undertake, as their drones patrol the skies of Baghdad almost daily. This has prompted faction leaders to change their tactics and movements and to take strict security measures to avoid being targeted by the US.
