Just as with the lifting of subsidies on fuel, medicines, and food supplies, there is a need for a suitable plan to restructure the banking sector and implement the necessary recovery plans for this country. A state does not act "calmly" before reaching severe collapse stages; instead, it works under the pressure of raids, gunfire, looting, and fighting among people or between them and various forms and types of sectors, both private and public.
**New Collapse**
Bank deposits are being released under pressure, while others remain in place. Some individuals retrieve what’s due to them amid chaos, whereas others receive nothing, which increases resentment, problems, and the time of distress.
In light of this reality, we reminisce about October 17, 2019, which marked the onset of the financial crisis and the application of black market rates that began to erode the Lebanese body. Will the increasing bank raids over the past month lead us to a new phase of additional collapse?
**A Heated Phase**
An informed source stressed the "difficulty of assessing the nature of the phase the country will enter in the near future. Nothing is completely certain except that the economic and financial situation is not good, and conditions are tough for people as winter approaches, affecting their ability to meet school and university needs, heating necessities, and other essential requirements."
In an interview with "Akhbar Al-Yawm" agency, the source noted, "We are likely heading towards a void instead of regulation. The overall situation is not positive from all angles and is prone to further political instability. The upcoming phase will be politically heated due to the void and the exit of President Michel Aoun from the Baabda Palace, which is the anticipated time for his team's political escalation."
**Security?**
The source pointed out that "the main concern is that there might be preparations for a deliberately instigated tension to push the presidential deadline towards certain options. Some political forces have an interest in this, potentially creating incidents and problems for it. However, the Lebanese army and security forces have the complete capability to maintain the situation as required. There is no fear that matters will descend into serious security issues, based on several points, the most prominent of which are:
*Increased military readiness to control situations alongside the presidential void in the coming weeks.*
*An international decision to maintain stability in Lebanon.*
*No intention from any major local political group to escalate tensions to a level reminiscent of civil war."
**Acceleration**
The source believed that "the precision of the phase may hasten the resolution of the required constitutional steps in the slightly farther future, because the country's situation is not what it was in 2014; it cannot tolerate a long presidential void."
In conclusion, "poverty, hunger, and financial collapse are factors that may increase tensions, alongside pressures and total political instability. Yet, it is likely that the future will be kept within controlled limits."
